Hainan proposes to ban the sale of fuel vehicles in 2030. Is there a new opportunity?
The first in the country! Here it is proposed that the sale of fuel vehicles will be banned in 2030! New opportunities are coming?
In December 2020, the Central Economic Work Conference set the goal of "our country’s carbon dioxide emissions strive to peak before 2030 and strive to achieve carbon neutrality before 2060."
In the context of the "double carbon" goal, the popularity of "new energy vehicles" continues to soar: from January to August this year, the production and sales of new energy vehicles have reached 1.813 million and 1.799 million respectively!
At the same time, a ban on the sale of fuel vehicles has also been put on the agenda. As early as 2019, Hainan Province released the "Hainan Province Clean Energy Vehicle Development Plan", which was the first in the country to propose a ban on the sale of fuel vehicles in 2030.
When achieving the "double carbon" goal becomes the active choice for industrial and urban development, and when technological change is surging, what opportunities and challenges are brewing in the future of new energy vehicles?
CCTV Finance’s "Dialogue" program invited Wan Gang, Vice Chairperson of the National Committee of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference and Chairperson of the China Association for Science and Technology, Feng Fei, Governor of the Hainan Provincial People’s Government, and Wang Guoqiang, Director and Deputy Secretary of the Party Committee of China First Automobile Group Co., Ltd., to the World New Energy Vehicle Conference to answer these questions.
Why ban the sale of fuel vehicles?
Although the market share of new energy vehicles is getting higher and higher, as an "old qualification" that has existed for so long, do fuel vehicles really need to be banned?
Feng Fei, governor of the Hainan Provincial People’s Government, explained: "There are three main considerations. The first central government has requirements, the strategic positioning of three districts and one center. One of the districts is called the Ecological Civilization Experimental Zone, and the central government has proposed a relatively high positioning. Therefore, we regard energy conservation and environmental protection of automobiles, and the large-scale popularization of the use of new energy vehicles as an important strategic direction. It is also as the construction of ecological civilization. We call it one of the four landmark projects."
"The second consideration is that Hainan has a need. Blue seas, blue skies, green waters and green mountains are very scarce and important resources in Hainan. Hainan’s ecological environment can only get better, not worse."
"The third future has prospects. We have been thinking about the free trade port in Hainan, including what kind of development model and form the industry in Hainan will be. We need to plan for the future and achieve leapfrog development. The development of new energy vehicles is a very important direction representing the future. It turns out that I am doing economic research. If a new technology and new product accounts for 1% of the market share, it may be a leap and a qualitative leap. Now we see that new energy vehicles have far exceeded such a hurdle and become a new industry with enough business models and sufficient internal motivation for development. Therefore, I think the new energy vehicle market in Hainan may be the fastest growing market in the country in the future."
Wang Guoqiang, director and deputy party secretary of China FAW Group Co., Ltd., went on to express his willingness to work together as a service provider for this goal: "By 2025, the sales of Hongqi cars will exceed 1.20 million, and the new energy vehicles will be more than 500,000. By 2030, it is in line with our goal of banning the sale of fuel vehicles in Hainan Province."
Is the era of fuel vehicles really coming to an end?
With clear goals and ambitious blueprints, is the internal combustion engine really about to be completely phased out? Will the era of fuel vehicles be gone forever? What challenges will this bring to the manufacturing side?
Wan Gang, vice-chairperson of the National Committee of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference and chairperson of the China Association for Science and Technology, said: "Many people say that in the end, the internal combustion engine will be eliminated. I say that this is a very long process, and life and death will inevitably occur in the long river of history. But as far as I can see, it will still play an important role in the next 20 or 30 years. Let’s not talk about the heavy-duty internal combustion engine. In fact, even the light-duty internal combustion engine of our cars will continue to innovate, and there are many things that will happen in the future. That is to say, in the future, you may be able to drive 100 kilometers with a liter of oil after an extended-range engine is installed, which will also reduce the user’s mileage worries. Of course, it is also a competition, and the functional efficiency of the battery’s fast charging and discharging is also
As for the manufacturing of new energy vehicles in the "double carbon" era, Vice Chairperson Wan Gang proposed: "Reduce energy consumption through intelligent manufacturing. Reduce carbon emissions in the manufacturing process through material conservation and low carbonization. In the design process, it is necessary to take into account its recycling and utilization, forming a circular economy. In this way, the whole cycle of carbon emission reduction can achieve the low-carbon development of the entire industrial chain of our automobile industry."
Future | The future of new energy vehicles? Draw it for you
Adults are planning, children are imagining. In addition to rational design and conception, in the face of future new energy vehicles, we also need inspiration from children to fly.
One of the paintings aroused the curiosity of Vice Chairperson Wan Gang: "What does this look like? Like a Mars rover. It has four wheels that can drive autonomously, and it adds a small compartment to the rover, with people sitting in it. I don’t know if you can see it. What is the difference between these cars and the traditional gasoline cars we usually sit in? It doesn’t have a big nose. Our generation is already familiar with it. The internal combustion engine is always installed in the car. It must be installed in the front, so this car must have a big nose. And in the minds of these children, the car of the future is infinitely malleable to them. Twenty years later, they are the car producers, and they are also the future users of the car. Little designers’ fantasies about the future may be our goal in the future. "
The environment shapes the times, and the times affect industries. Every change makes some former partners history, but it also brings us new friends, lives, and opportunities.